Hundreds of Hezbollah members reportedly injured by exploding pagers
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hold on, hold on. lets not get too hasty now
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GUNS AND COFFEE
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Israel blew up the beepers
So they switched from beepers to 2-way radios; Israel exploded the 2-way radios
So they switched to in-person meetings; Israel blew up the meetings
😂🤣
So they switched from beepers to 2-way radios; Israel exploded the 2-way radios
So they switched to in-person meetings; Israel blew up the meetings
😂🤣
I’d suggest smoke signals, but the SNR in that part of the world is crazy high.
Isn't it exhilarating to see Israel tell Anthony Blinken and Joe Biden to pound sand while they swoop down with such precision, forethought and success to destroy their worst and most formidable enemies? The US administration should be ashamed. The administration does not understand that for war to become peace, one side has to win and one side has to lose (and know it). Israel finally had enough US prevarication, and determined to settle some family business.
First Israel leaked to the media that it had compromised Hezbollah's high tech communications; this led the terrorists to abandon their phones for pagers and walkie-talkies which Israel had brilliantly contrived to detonate, taking many operatives out of the fight and demoralizing the rest. Then having lost reliable long-distance communication, Hezbollah leadership was forced to gather in one place to meet. Israel tracked their whereabouts and introduced them all to Allah in their underground bunker. Not only that, but at the same time they are prosecuting a war against Hamas in Rafa and Hezbollah in Lebanon, yesterday they bombed Houthi missile installations in Yemen. All of this with minimum civilian casualties. Iran, you want some of this? With Blinken studying his fingernails, things are moving quickly.
This is how it is done. It could have been done sooner and at less cost of lives and materiel except for Blinken and Biden. I hope some people are learning something.
First Israel leaked to the media that it had compromised Hezbollah's high tech communications; this led the terrorists to abandon their phones for pagers and walkie-talkies which Israel had brilliantly contrived to detonate, taking many operatives out of the fight and demoralizing the rest. Then having lost reliable long-distance communication, Hezbollah leadership was forced to gather in one place to meet. Israel tracked their whereabouts and introduced them all to Allah in their underground bunker. Not only that, but at the same time they are prosecuting a war against Hamas in Rafa and Hezbollah in Lebanon, yesterday they bombed Houthi missile installations in Yemen. All of this with minimum civilian casualties. Iran, you want some of this? With Blinken studying his fingernails, things are moving quickly.
This is how it is done. It could have been done sooner and at less cost of lives and materiel except for Blinken and Biden. I hope some people are learning something.
I hope they at least got their virgins. I mean, what's the use of being a martyr if you don't get the virgins? Schadenfreude, or maybe, Freudenschade?
GymB
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I doubt that Iran will engage in any significant way. Their goal is to become a nuclear power, poking Israel is a good way to get set back a decade or more on that objective. It’s not like we wouldn’t be willing to destroy some of that infrastructure claiming that doing so helps to contain the conflict. In fact, we’d like nothing more than an excuse to eliminate Iran’s ability to produce drones for Russia.
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Unfortunately for you and Israel, Iran launched somewhere between 200 - 400 ballistic missiles in the past hour.
My prediction is that Iran is about to lose its oil processing capability, just like the Yemenese Houthis did yesterday.
GymB
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I was aware of that when I posted, I think it’s posturing and not significant.
Yes, Iran will pay a price, we’ll know what it is in the next little bit. Russia would be happy to see additional loss of oil production to offset Saudi Arabia’s announcement of increased production, they badly need oil revenue.
today's iran missle launches......
expected.
now awaiting the level of appropriate response by IDF, etc... I'm hoping it is effective and "what was the term in the gulf war??"
agree with above " My prediction is that Iran is about to lose its oil processing capability, just like the Yemenese Houthis did yesterday."
maybe they will make one large glass sheet..... f em. FJB FKH, fab, and the lot.
is the fleet still offshore? I doubt sleepy has the balls to let them engage.
expected.
now awaiting the level of appropriate response by IDF, etc... I'm hoping it is effective and "what was the term in the gulf war??"
agree with above " My prediction is that Iran is about to lose its oil processing capability, just like the Yemenese Houthis did yesterday."
maybe they will make one large glass sheet..... f em. FJB FKH, fab, and the lot.
is the fleet still offshore? I doubt sleepy has the balls to let them engage.
More like semiconductors from Taiwan.
The US SPR is sitting at under 350,000 barrels (under 1/2 of what Biden started with and about 1/3 it’s capacity) which is about 2 1/2 weeks of average US consumption. Any major middle east disruption could send a bubble in oil supplies. Imagine if the weather in the Gulf impacts the oil and gas industry (the SPR also is maintained in LA & TX) had taken a real swipe at facilities and hurt the fuel supply. I’m betting the Craps & Giggles administration’s lack of management of the SPR will not even be whispered by MSM. Incidents like Middle East unrest and such are a big reason the SPR was started in the 70’s. Way to go Joe 🙄
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It is at the lowest level since 1983:
It was at 638M when Biden was installed, and dropped to 347M by the summer of 2023.
This is treasonous.
along with a bunch or other actions fJB...
GymB
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Or good policy to moderate increases to retail gas/oil prices. They were growing at a pretty alarming rate, as you surely recall.
It's a policy alright, but I wouldn't say it's a "good" policy. I remember when regular unleaded was close to $4/g under GWB, and TPTB didn't empty the SPR then - look at the chart. And I don't believe the reason for the STRATEGIC petroleum reserve is to manipulate the market price, it's to pull us through emergencies. No sir, this was "bad" policy designed to put lipstick on a pig in the short term, and weaken the US in the long term. FJB.
GymB
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Funny that you think any politician thinks long term.
I think that the SPR was established in response to market manipulations by OPEC, it’s purpose was to moderate price swings.
So, you agree with the current regime's SPR drawdown? You think it is/was good policy?
ETA I don't see "market manipulation" on this page: https://www.energy.gov/ceser/strate...e (SPR,under the international energy program.
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It was … the early 70’s embargoes hit both price and supply. If you weren’t around gas rationing was done by limiting purchases, odd/even day sakes and such. People would line up the night before just to get 8 gallons of gas … if the station didn’t run out before they reached the pump. The SPR was designed for a buffer of 1 month (the 70’s usage was quite a bit more than today) to keep key things moving if supplies were monkeyed with. The SPR was also suppose to help protect key industrial and military accessibility … just in case foreign oil was hampered it would give a window to adjust supply lines before pumps ran completely dry.
I do believe the SPR has been depleted to drop FJB gas prices when the Bidenomic Inflation sent gas prices sky rocketing as well as some foreign sales to other countries for “questionable” politics. I have little problem with SPR varying (the SPR is not a static reserve, it has been a maintained inventory rather than a stockpile that just sits) so when oil prices are down bump that sucker back up. Any way you look at it the SPR has been screwed with by the current regime for reasons besides what is best for the Country … since it the Dems though it is backpage news.
Does not his mean that 1,735 goats will be sad, and 509 ugly goats will get a chance at love?
Do you think that this may possibly be part of the plan that the evil left has devised to destroy the USA even more? The maggots are evil not stupid.
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GymB
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The situation is slightly more complicated than your question suggests. The problem I have is not with using the SPR to stabilize prices, it’s with the policies that caused the price fluctuations in the first place. We’d have been better off taking a more measured approach to going green and stopping drilling and several other things including encouraging that little dustup between Russia and Ukraine. Instead we jumped in with both feet and one of the side effects was a tenacious increase in oil prices. America runs on cheap energy, it was right to get prices back down, it’s unfortunate that the action was needed at all.
The SPR cannot have any lasting impact on prices. If the prices jumped up due to a temporary condition, sure, _maybe_ that would make sense.
But if the problem is structural - the prices are up for a reason that isn't going away - then using the SPR is just pissing away our national security. A transparent and blatant attempt to buy some votes in the short term, where the _best_ outcome is that the gov refills the SPR, wasting more money than was saved AND driving prices up further. Worst case is we never refill it and get caught without it when it is needed.
Sometimes the worst case scenario is the plan.
GymB
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Aren’t all conditions that effect oil prices temporary? As prices rise, more capacity comes online and prices stabilize, and when prices fall production is reduced.
When the SPR was created we imported about 20%-25% of the oil we used (we imported more but then exported it as other products) and OPEC controlled enough oil production to affect prices and our economy. Today OPEC is smaller and the US produces more oil than it needs. Trump reminds us that we flipped from a net importer to a net exporter in 2022, becoming energy independent. It’s true, but he had little to do with the growth of shale oil production during the two decades leading up to that. Yes he could have further increased production, and yes Ds tend to restrict domestic production, but overall we produce more oil than we need.
During a hypothetical war our need for oil will increase, and some think that the SPR will meet that increased demand. This was pretty true when the SPR was created, without it the US military would be competing with US consumers for petroleum products while our potential adversaries would be choking the supply either at the wellheads or by destroying tankers. Again, not the situation today. War would of course increase the cost of oil, but we are not dependent on foreign sources.
China otoh is an importer of oil and won’t go to war without having built a huge strategic reserve. They depleted their SPR in the past few years for economic reasons and just began refilling it slowly in 2024. They are buying embargoed Russian oil at a discount. The end of hostilities in Ukraine would make Russian oil more valuable, benefitting Russia and hurting China. The Chinese also remember the experience of Japan in WW2 which was unable to build sufficient reserves prior to the war, and failed to destroy US reserves on HI. I don’t think they are ready for a shooting war today.
The SPR is a tool. Having it is a deterrent and using it is a regulator, in both cases to economic activity that is adverse to the interests of the US, or at least to the interests of the party in power. You might not like that D’s used it to lower the price of gas at the pump, but you also didn’t like the high gas prices, the move did help the economy and helped get inflation under control. Beginning in late 2023 we began refilling the SPR by about 2mm barrels a month; we need to ramp that up to restore the roughly 250mm bls we drew down in 2021-23.
The purpose of the SPR was entirely military. Using it for anything else is a military risk. If you can use and replenish it in a month or two, the risk is smaller. Leaving it depleted for years is a very large risk. Like, right now we are taking about a real risk of WW3 while the SPR is low. That is _stupid_.
It was not intended to be a policy tool. It was intended to insure continuity of supply for oil for military use in wartime.
I don’t think either party should use it to drop gas prices by a quarter for a few weeks before an election. I understand why they do it but it isn’t to help us, it is to buy votes. And if/when they do refill it, the added demand _necessarily_ raises prices. They haven’t saved anyone any money, just shifted the higher prices around to a more politically convenient time.
GymB
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Sorry, but most of this is incorrect.
FWIW, they aren’t using it to drop gas prices by a quarter for a few weeks before and election, they have been adding to the reserve each month for the year leading up to the election, so as you point out, they are increasing prices going into the election. Not sure how this is buying votes.
Don’t get me wrong, they are buying votes in a hundred different ways both large and small, but there is a big gray area between earning votes by doing what’s good for us and buying votes while doing something bad for us. As relates to management of the SPR, they seem to be making pretty good decisions for us.
Looking forward, I assume that Iran’s production capacity will soon be restricted. Saudi Arabia is increasing output at our request. I still think we’ll see prices increasing from now through at least the end of the year given the uncertainty in the middle east. Oil is still in the $70s and the US economy can tolerate some increase. It also seems that we drew down the SPR when oil was $95-$125, so the government addressed gas prices and inflation while making about $14b; not a bad day’s work.